Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.042368 2.348176 2.688003 3.094303 3.567755 4.103093 4.755777
2025-04-27 1.556850 1.956802 2.445817 3.090684 3.923127 4.967405 6.385986
2025-05-04 1.337437 1.785102 2.369106 3.192884 4.334758 5.875950 8.137809
2025-05-11 1.156906 1.619782 2.255752 3.202959 4.594350 6.588806 9.710251
2025-05-18 1.020479 1.488179 2.159901 3.208368 4.828106 7.275504 11.329815
2025-05-25 0.889045 1.342725 2.019707 3.120298 4.897158 7.709472 12.609430
2025-06-01 0.813992 1.270308 1.976090 3.168456 5.175742 8.496797 14.571302
2025-06-08 0.755956 1.216029 1.951697 3.239933 5.495458 9.386757 16.841000
2025-06-15 0.694411 1.148104 1.895827 3.248752 5.704464 10.108035 18.913892
2025-06-22 0.627736 1.063794 1.802298 3.178769 5.760532 10.556731 20.534736
2025-06-29 0.574213 0.996095 1.729306 3.135108 5.856039 11.085704 22.390285
2025-07-06 0.523201 0.927433 1.647010 3.063475 5.886761 11.489352 24.046260
2025-07-13 0.501023 0.913490 1.671077 3.214796 6.413247 13.034971 28.610094
2025-07-20 0.459686 0.860429 1.618355 3.213758 6.642538 14.032763 32.237839
2025-07-27 0.435803 0.837373 1.619426 3.320240 7.113239 15.629770 37.625336
2025-08-03 0.404432 0.795668 1.578037 3.330755 7.373708 16.798784 42.228639
2025-08-10 0.376126 0.756764 1.537359 3.336397 7.622947 17.984771 47.155449
2025-08-17 0.342297 0.702581 1.458221 3.244529 7.626666 18.572243 50.599897
2025-08-24 0.323873 0.679000 1.441844 3.294764 7.984748 20.120248 57.149081
2025-08-31 0.308942 0.661290 1.436154 3.369326 8.416498 21.943597 64.988730
2025-09-07 0.290580 0.633939 1.405501 3.378527 8.679735 23.360083 71.947722
2025-09-14 0.268424 0.595663 1.345360 3.305521 8.710475 24.128884 77.022463
2025-09-21 0.250088 0.564377 1.298307 3.259977 8.810497 25.120802 83.127550